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Posted by Alpha on 09/29/81 11:29
"William Davis" <davisbill@mac.com> wrote in message
news:davisbill-7E9586.22260415102005@news.west.cox.net...
> In article <11klo82agv00uac@corp.supernews.com>,
> "Alpha" <none@none.net> wrote:
>
>> "Tarkus" <karnevil9@beer.com> wrote in message
>> news:xlofjwgubjxo.dlg@tarkus.karnevil9.com...
>> > On 10/10/2005 10:02:59 AM, Henry Padilla wrote:
>> >
>> >> Looks like WB is going to back Blu-Ray. This will probably tip the
>> >> scales on HD-DVD.
>> >>
>> >> http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/9610452/
>> >>
>> >> MS has got to be ready to strangle someone.
>> >
>> > Alpha?
>>
>> Both Blu Ray and HD DVD will fail as they are currently conceived. Mark
>> my
>> words.....both will undergo modification, particularly to remove the Big
>> Brother copy protection envisioned (especially by Blu Ray).
>
> I don't know about "fail" but I suspect that as this generation of kids
> progress through the industry, there'll be a split between the 'sold'
> content and the 'collected' content camps.
>
> For a large slice of the market, the "sold" guys will continue to rely
> on mechanical gizmos and copy protection.
>
> Underneath that, you'll find a continuing, robust and ever shifting
> electronic game conceived along the lines of some permutation of the bit
> torrent concept - where people exchange the content they like - in
> whatever whatever "definition" they enjoy - totally without regard for
> any of the legal niceities.
>
> If a content provider makes it easier to "play legal" like Apple did
> with iTunes (now with VIDEO!) in a model that includes both hardware AND
> software accessibility in a simple, workable model with extras (user
> ratings, tips, mixes, etc) that will do well.
>
> But all the traditional "disc" formats are just fingers in the dikes of
> the reality of the current world of digital content distribution.
>
> They just don't understand that the whole damn technology is shifting
> out from under them by the hour.
>
> Mikey (now 13) wanted some music from a band not on iTunes so I took him
> shopping to a bricks and mortar music store. Whoever made the decision
> not to license to iTunes made him leave his house, physically travel to
> the mall, buy a piece of round plastic encased in MORE plastic -
> "protected" but MORE plastic that he cursed while opening - than ripped
> to his iPod and promptly consigned all the plastic crap INCLUDING the CD
> to the landfill - and charged him almost double ($17) for the privilege
>
> Nice business model.
Excellent analysis.
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