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Posted by Morgan on 10/14/05 17:07
"campu2.net" <campu2@hotmail.com> wrote in message
news:1129254974.198464.122870@z14g2000cwz.googlegroups.com...
>
> Rich wrote:
>> Remember 8 track? Cassette killed it. How long did it take?
>> Vinyl was killed (vinylfiles need not respond) by CD in about
>> four years.
>> VHS was killed by DVD in the space of 4-5 years.
>> So, once Blu-HD-Ray-DVD is released, how long will
>> DVD persist? My guess is (owing to the numbers of DVD
>> machines, the acceptability of the format and the precarious
>> nature of the blu-ray, HD-DVD war, DVD should last another
>> 8-10 years once the other two get released.
>> -Rich
>
> I assume that the HD players will still play regular DVDs.
> (Just as DVD players play CDs).If this is the case,
> standard DVDs should be around for many years.
>
> I've replaced most of my VHS tapes with DVD. I don't plan
> on replacing my DVDs with HD. Atleast, not in the near future.
>
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I've never been under the assumption that HD-DVD or Blu-Ray was going to
take over for standard DVDs. I still don't think enough people have an HDTV
to warrant either format becoming more dominant than regular DVDs. Yes,
more people have HDTV's but they only have 1, not 1 in every room. I have a
fairly large DVD collection (500 DVDs) and I can't see myself replacing but
a handful of titles--only about 10 (and that's being really generous). And
realistically, I wouldn't replace them as I'd still have the standard
version around for portability purposes--there's not going to be an HDTV or
HD-player everywhere I go. I think the future of DVD is pretty secure. I
think lots of people have more DVDs than they had VHS tapes, and their
willingness to part with them will be a much tougher fight when a new format
hits the market. I still only see HD-formats as a niche market. And I may
be totally wrong, but I think the general public is starting to grow weary
of new formats. I haven't experienced an HD disc so I can't say I know what
it's like, but I have and HDTV and (although I'm blown away by the clarity)
I can't see myself paying more for a movie just to get it in HD.
Morgan
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