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Re: How long till DVD is dead?

Posted by Black Locust on 10/15/05 04:12

In article <1129276954.634831.14410@o13g2000cwo.googlegroups.com>,
lorincantrell@yahoo.com wrote:

> Still, DVD has a lot of advantages:
>
> 1. Extreme market penetration. The most popular, most quickly accepted
> media format of all time.

Very true. It would take a small miracle for either one of these HD
discs to be accepted even half as quickly as DVD was accepted. The
high-end users may jump on them real quickly, but even they will likely
hold off because of the format war. And I don't see the 'Average Joe'
consumer even considering HD discs for at least another 8 to 10 years,
if EVER...

> 2. Reliability. The discs will likely last decades.

This is one of the key advantages DVD had over the then "King of Video"
VHS format when it launched in 1997. Many people were already beginning
to see their VHS collections start to deteriorate back then. These HD
formats will have no such advantage over DVD. A well cared for DVD
should be in as good condition 50 years from now as it was the day it
was purchased.

> 3. They look great on HDTV sets.

Yes. Even though DVDs aren't truly "high definition", they're still
optimized for HDTV's. Honestly, I've come across very few people that
aren't satisfied with the picture quality of DVD on HD sets.. You have
to be a pretty demanding bastard to look at a well mastered anamorphic
DVD on a player with progresssive scan output and say "That looks like
crap. I want something better!"

> 4. They will most certainly be cheaper than whichever HD format wins.
> Part of DVD's quick acceptance was that the pricing was good right out
> of the box. Maybe a little higher than VHS in the beginning, but
> nowhere near the princely sums paid for Laserdiscs.

Actually, DVD was priced better than VHS, even in the beginning.
Remember, the majority of VHS was priced for rental for the first 6
months or so. DVD had the luxury of never being subjected to the dreaded
"rental window."

> -beaumon
>
--
"Our enemies are innovative and resourceful, and so are we.
They never stop thinking about new ways to harm our country and our people,
and neither do we." - George Dumbya Bush

 

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