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Posted by Movie monster on 10/04/66 11:29
If the format war settle their difference within a year then I predict
HD DVD will become mainstream within 3 - 4 years. Keep in mind that
there are hundreds of thousands of DVD titles available right now. It
doesn't mean they'll automatically become available in HD DVD format
overnight. Most of your collection will still be in DVD format because
you'll either still be waiting for the HD version or the difference is
minimal (ie. classic movies).
It also depends on what kind of TV the majority of consumers own. If
you have a 34" TV or smaller, I seriously doubt Joe Sixpack can tell
the difference in picture quality between HD DVD and DVD. If you have
a big screen TV, then you'll definitely notice the inferiority of DVD.
If the new format require a phone hookup, then all bets are off.
8-10 years might be pushing it. I think HD DVD will surpass DVD sales
within 6 years.
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