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Posted by Linonut on 06/23/06 22:03
After takin' a swig o' grog, Larry Qualig belched out this bit o' wisdom:
> The reasons I think the adoption will be slow are:
>
> 1) Most people do not own high-def television sets. So for most people,
> spending 10x (literally) on a HD player doesn't make sense since there
> will be no perceptible difference in picture quality on their existing
> standard TV set.
>
> 2) The majority of people who own DVD players bought them within the
> last 5 years. Consumers will not buy into the idea that after they
> finally got a DVD player they now need to replace it with a
> newer/better one.
>
> 3) Prices are way too high. Chicken-and-Egg problem here because once
> they start selling lots of HD players/movies the price will come down
> due to the economies of scale. But for the next year or so... prices
> are too high to attract the average consumer.
I generally agree with Larry here. Think how long it has/is taken from
DVD formats to shake out, and we still have minor various (and also
double-layer writable) churning away.
It will take even longer with HD.
--
"Spock, you're nothing but a damn computer!"
"Why, thank you, Doctor!"
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