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Posted by Barry Watzman on 01/07/07 01:34
Re: "DVD is, exactly like VHS, "good enough""
For now, maybe. But not for true HDTV, and that's becoming more of an
issue. Also, this has nothing to do with movies, but I need larger
burnable removeable media for backing up the DATA on my computer. I've
outgrown even dual-layer DVD (9GB).
Re: "The HDDVD & Bluray hardware including monitor, video card, and
drive are hyperexpensive"
I paid over $500 for a simple 2x CD burner in 1996. Yes, BR and HD DVD
are expensive now. In 3-4 years they will be $40 to $60.
Re: "The Bluray-HDDVD war has only just begun"
Dual mode drives are expected at CES next week. Just like drives that
now write both "+" and "-" format DVDs.
I could go on but it's pointless. The bottom line here is that you are
a very shortsighted person who lacks both experience and vision. We've
been through this before, and the passage of time will nullify all of
your arguments.
Rexunrex@yahoo.com wrote:
> I predict that HDDVD/Bluray will suffer in a prolonged coma, probably
> for the next 5 years. It may never wake up at all and may even prove to
> have been stillborn all along.
>
> There are 7 excellent reasons:
>
> 1. DVD is, exactly like VHS, "good enough", cheap, and ubiquitous. Even
> playing on my computer, the video and audio are crisp.
>
> 2. The HDDVD & Bluray hardware including monitor, video card, and drive
> are hyperexpensive and beyond the means of most people. The minority of
> newly-rich people and obsessive gamers cannot support this technology.
> The only hope for HDDVD was the Microsoft $200 USB drive, but without a
> good ripper program to let the consumer avoid buying a new monitor &
> video card, even that is useless.
>
> 3. The Bluray-HDDVD war has only just begun. Expect 2 to 5 years for it
> to be resolved.
>
> 4. Actual movie theaters are far better pictures than HDDVD or Bluray.
> Even the low-end digital cinema projectors have a 2048-pixel wide
> image. Compare a $4 matinee ticket to the insane cost of HDDVD & Bluray
> hardware -- even the game systems are expensive. If I'm going to spend
> a crapload of money, I'd rather it be toward LASIK treatment or a very
> good pair of glasses, than on computer hardware or a game console.
>
> 5. DVD's rippability is perceived by a certain percentage of consumers
> as a precondition for purchasing. Lack of it makes HDDVD/Bluray a
> non-starter. No one wants to do business with Scrooge companies that
> invent nasty DRM like AACS, let alone cave in to terrorist
> organizations like the RIAA and MPAA and cower at their feet.
>
> 6. Since the US Treasury just announced that the USA is in fact
> bankrupt, and the dollar is ready to crash anyway, it is only a matter
> of time before this suppressed news reaches the already-frugal buying
> public in the USA. When it does, and they lift their heads out of the
> sand, people are not going to rush to buy luxuries. It will be 5 or 10
> years before the economy recovers, if it ever does. Source:
>
> http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/martenson/2006/1217.html
>
> 7. Better technology is always coming. You may have noticed the stories
> on Digg/Reddit about the man who has a patent on a 100GB CDROM, or
> about the holographic DVD. By the time the HDDVD/Bluray conflict is
> resolved, people may no longer need them! Example source:
>
> http://www.dvd-recordable.org/Article1415-mode=thread-order0-threshold0.phtml
>
> Thus, high-def discs are really a non-starter today and may never get
> off the ground, absent some innovation such as a good, reliable ripping
> program, or perhaps a cheap HDDVD burner.
>
> The consumer is king and he holds the cards, not the fools who invented
> the latest DRM. If industry doesn't bend over backyards and lick itself
> for the entertainment of the king, their rush for profits may have been
> a true Fool's Errand.
>
> Rex
>
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