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Posted by Aaron J. Bossig on 01/17/07 21:36
Doug Jacobs <djacobs@shell.rawbw.com> wrote in
news:12qt4n813buo95e@corp.supernews.com:
>> Experts quizzed by the FM this week say they expect the DVD will have
>> gone the way of the VHS cassette by 2010. They also predict a bleak
>> future for HD-DVD and say that Sony will emerge triumphant with
>> Blu-ray.
>
> Hahahah. DVD to be dead in 3 years? One format to triumph over the
> other? Yeah, were these "experts" Sony executives or something?
>
> Look, DVD/VHS combo players are still being sold. Blank VHS tape is
> still being sold. Many studios are even still producing VHS releases!
> DVD has been around for, what, 10+ years already? And it's been
> co-existing with VHS which isn't compatible with it at all.
>
> Given that timeline, that'd mean DVD won't "go the way of VHS" until
> closer to 2020 - and they'll probably STILL be around.
Standard DVD is not going anywhere. DVD replaced VHS because it was
an all-around better package: better video, better audio, more durable,
more usable with computers (which were getting cheap by the late 90s),
and not really that much more expensive. BluRay and HD-DVD aren't able
to offer nearly such a compelling argument to upgrade. Sure, the
picture/sound quality is better, but your equipment needs to be up to
par to appreciate it.
Secondly, unlike Standard DVD which was better than VHS for ANY
material, there are lots of movies and shows that don't benefit from HD
treatments. Many independent films and older TV shows won't fare any
better in HD, and I'll wager the effect of HD on animation probably
isn't that big of a deal.
Third, since the inception of DVD, it's become a lot more common to
make movies portable. Lots of people watch DVDs on their portable
players, laptop computers, PSPs, iPods, and in-dash DVD players. These
very popular devices don't yet support BR or HD-DVD, and when they
do, will the better resolution mean ANYTHING on such a tiny screen?
Don't get me wrong, I want a HD format. I don't even really care if
it's BR or HD-DVD, I just want one. But let's keep this in context:
Standard DVD is cheaper, more convenient, and a more logical choice
for most material. HD/BR are both luxury formats for people who want
them and have the equipment to make the most out of them. So to say
that either one will wipe Standard DVD off the market is just silly.
--
Aaron J. Bossig
http://www.GodsLabRat.com
http://www.dvdverdict.com
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