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Posted by Doug Jacobs on 03/23/07 21:24
def456 <def456@none.none> wrote:
> I read most of the replies and the concensus seems to be about 5 years. That
> means the DVD format probably still has a long lifetime to look forward to,
> another 5 years, at least, which is fine with me. That was actually the
> reason for my question since I'm planning on investing a lot in DVDs. Or, am
> I...?????
DVD will be around until HDTV dominates the market, dragging
HD-DVD/Blu-Ray along with it. And even then, DVD upscaled to 1080p will
still probably be "good enough" for most people. The studios will have to
stop releasing stuff on DVD altogether, while pricing the HD stuff to be
just as cheap (if not cheaper) in order to get folks to switch.
I'd give it another 10 years. Remember, you could still buy stuff on VHS
for years even after DVD had dominated the market.
As other people have mentioned, there's also a 3rd possibility that is
quickly gaining ground - electronic distribution/storage of movies. As
technology pushes storage and broadband it could very well be that HD-DVD
and blu-ray are nothing more than a stopgap technology before things go
(mostly) to a fully networked streaming solution.
> A little birdie tells me the future is not in DVDs or BluRay or HDformat
> discs, but in external portable hard drives. Have you noticed how cheap they
> are lately? I picked up a 250G external USB drive at Staples for $80 (US$s,
> of course) recently. That will hold 32 movies at 8G per movie, resulting in
> a cost of about $2.50 per movie. Wow! Did I calculate that correctly? That's
> already as cheap as DL DVDs. :)
> So maybe what we really need is TV sets which can accept a connection to
> these little portable USB hard drives, each of which can old 32 or more
> movies. Of course our computer monitors can already do that, but many of us
> prefer the theatrical experience of watching movies on our big screen TV's
> from the luxury of our easy chair while stuffing ourselves with popcorn and
> soda pop (or whatever). :)
> So will I be putting my money into DL DVDs or a shelf full of portable
> external USB hard drives? I'm not sure yet, maybe the latter. Hard drives
> have a long lifetime too, I imagine.
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