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Re: Flash Memory will win DVD wars!!!

Posted by Tarkus on 10/14/07 01:51

Big Boy wrote:
> Tarkus wrote:
>> Rich Billionaire wrote:
>>> Read about holographic disks on Wikipedia. Right now they have 300
>>> gigabyte holographic disks that they sell to TV stations for $120 each
>>> and the burners cost $10,000. But in the future I think the prices
>>> will come down enough for the consumer like everything else does in
>>> electronics. They say the upper limit for holographic disks is 1.6
>>> terrabytes.
>>> So after everyone has a blue ray or HD-DVD player plush a bunch of
>>> disks for those, I predict that they will put holographic disks on the
>>> consumer market and we'll be expected to buy those things all over
>>> again.
>>
>> Are they really doing that with HD discs? Seems to me they're pushing
>> new releases far more than they're pushing replacing your existing
>> catalog. Not that there isn't some of that too.
>>
>> But yeah, technology evolves and there will always be new formats.
>> It's up to each consumer to decide if there is sufficient value in
>> them. Unless you're opposed to capitalism, I see nothing wrong with that.
>>
>> They've yet to market a new format, for example, that renders existing
>> VHS tapes inoperable. And neither HD format renders existing DVDs
>> inoperable. IOW, if people are replacing their existing catalogs,
>> they're doing so by choice.
>
> I agree with you - up to a point. As you point out, they aren't
> deliberately rendering old technology (e.g. VHS tapes) inoperable.
> However, it is getting harder to find a VHS player. There are many
> stores that don't bother carrying them, anymore. This trend will
> continue until it will be almost impossible to find a VHS player -
> thereby (effectively) rendering VHS useless. The same thing can be
> expected to happen with DVD eventually, although (hopefully) not for
> some years, yet.

I can't remember the last time I went into a store that sold DVD players
that didn't at least have combo VHS/DVD players. Yeah, at some point
they'll no longer be sold, but players generally last a long time
anyway. You can probably even find working 8-track players on eBay. ;)

Also, both HD formats are backwards compatible with existing DVDs, so
there is no problem there. Buy any HD player and you can play your
existing DVD catalog on them. And if you have an HDTV, it will even
look better than it did previously.

 

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