Reply to Re: How long till DVD is dead?

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Posted by campu2.net on 10/15/05 06:39

Justin wrote:
> Black Locust wrote on [Fri, 14 Oct 2005 22:12:09 -0600]:
> > In article <1129276954.634831.14410@o13g2000cwo.googlegroups.com>,
> > lorincantrell@yahoo.com wrote:
> >
> >> Still, DVD has a lot of advantages:
> >>
> >> 1. Extreme market penetration. The most popular, most quickly accepted
> >> media format of all time.
> >
> > Very true. It would take a small miracle for either one of these HD
> > discs to be accepted even half as quickly as DVD was accepted. The
> > high-end users may jump on them real quickly, but even they will likely
> > hold off because of the format war. And I don't see the 'Average Joe'
> > consumer even considering HD discs for at least another 8 to 10 years,
> > if EVER...
>
> What might push Joe Sixpack into buying into HD would be exclusive
> content. Even then, would the studios really make exclusive content when
> penetration isn't very high?

Does Joe Sixpack care about exclusive content or even know what it is?
I rarely watch the "extras" or listen to alternative tracks.

Aside from the format war, I don't believe HD will be mainstream until
the average household has a HDTV set.

I believe it will be for the high end consumers or as already mentioned
a niche market similar to laserdiscs. Which almost guarantees $30-$40
for HD releases (similar to the prices we saw for Laserdisc movies).

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