Reply to Re: Experts/Polls: Toshiba's HD-DVD dead in the water. Blu-ray will win.

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Posted by JLee on 04/05/06 21:14

RobH wrote:
> The people answering polls are a small percentage of the possible buying
> consumers. Don't overestimate the intelligence of the buying public.
> HD-DVD will be cheaper, and the lower class consumer might understand
> the word HD-DVD. I don't know or really care who wins, but the instinct
> is to always go for the cheapest, that's why Wal-Mart does so well.

This sounds ok, except that at the beginning, the price of BOTH will be
MUCH higher than the $35 of low end DVD players, AND the target
customer will be for quality-conscious consumers, NOT the mass public.
That only comes to play several months to years later, when the price
of both Blu-ray and HDDVD will be similar due to volume efficiencies.

Also, there's one difference between Sony and Toshiba - Sony owns 1
studio and is a big owner in another. Toshiba is not. So you'll always
have at least two big studios NOT releasing HDDVD discs, no matter what
the other studios do.

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