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Posted by Alpha on 04/05/06 21:44
"RobH" <Rob@aol.com> wrote in message
news:Xns979C94DFBD51lpwxmtdslt@207.217.125.201...
> "asj" <kalim1998@yahoo.com> wrote in
> news:1144241239.711876.316950@u72g2000cwu.googlegroups.com:
>
>> Research firms (e.g. Forrester Research) note that Blu-ray will most
>> likely win in the format war:
>>
>> "Blu-ray has several advantages that will help it win the day,
>> Schadler said. HD DVD is a one-trick pony for video playback, but
>> Blu-ray is also designed for games and computers, he said. Indeed, its
>> inclusion in millions of Sony's next-generation video game consoles is
>> a factor. And when former HD DVD loyalist Paramount endorsed Blu-ray,
>> it shifted the movie studio momentum. Finally, although Blu-ray
>> manufacturing will cost a little more initially, it offers more
>> capacity and employs a proven technology, Java, for interactive
>> features."
>>
>> http://www.cnet.com.au/desktops/storage/0,39029473,40057660,00.htm
>>
>> Informal Polls show same:
>> http://forum.dvdtalk.com/showthread.php?t=451395
>>
>> I have informally talked to people as well. They note Sony lost
>> betamax because it did not license it out. In this case, Blu-ray is
>> supported by a large number of vendors. This is not just Sony. This is
>> Panasonic, and Disney, Warner, Fox, and Sun, and IBM, and.....
>>
>> Also, people wondered why they would buy the much smaller Toshiba disc
>> when the Blu-ray can hold so much more data.
>>
>
>
> The people answering polls are a small percentage of the possible buying
> consumers. Don't overestimate the intelligence of the buying public.
> HD-DVD will be cheaper, and the lower class consumer might understand
> the word HD-DVD. I don't know or really care who wins, but the instinct
> is to always go for the cheapest, that's why Wal-Mart does so well.
There are a number of economic issues here. Blu Ray is stalled because they
originally promised internet connections for copy protection. Maybe yes,
maybe no. HD DVD made no such promises, and have fewer MPAA based studios
to endorse it.
The first Sony player is $999...the first HD DVD is $499.
The extra storage is a selling point for non-interlaced 1080 in Blu Ray,
although multi-layer HD DVD could also handle that (eventually, the first
player does not give 1080p).
It is far too early to really know what will happen. PS3 is stalled because
decisions on copyprotection and manufacturing issues have intervened. It
seems as though everything Blu Ray depends on PS3. I would not want to take
a wager on that.
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