Posted by Alpha on 04/06/06 04:23

"Mr. X" <fake@spam.net> wrote in message
news:c9%Yf.2425$CL6.130@fed1read11...
> "asj" <kalim1998@yahoo.com> wrote in message
> news:1144241239.711876.316950@u72g2000cwu.googlegroups.com...
>> Research firms (e.g. Forrester Research) note that Blu-ray will most
>> likely win in the format war:
>
> And they're wrong. :)
>
> Since I'm bored, let me tell ya what will happen. The hardcore
> videophiles will buy both. Those with less money will buy one or the
> other and defend their choice like a religion. Neither group really
> matters. The vast majority of the public will wait to buy dual format
> players.
>
> While it's true that Blu-Ray disks hold 25G vs HD-DVD only holding 15G, a
> dual layer HD-DVD can be made for less than a single layer Blu-Ray disk,
> and HD-DVD uses MPEG4 (Blu-Ray only uses MPEG2 like current DVDs because
> Sony owns a bunch of patents related to it). Videophiles will argue
> forever about this but it won't matter either. HD-DVD is fundamentally
> cheaper to make and it's trivial to print a disk that plays in a regular
> DVD player AND has a second HD-DVD layer. This means that stores can
> stock just HD-DVD disks and sell to both DVD buyers and HD-DVD buyers.
> This means that consumers can buy just 1 HD-DVD and use it in their living
> room and also in the kid's old DVD player. And retailers will have less
> tech support issues because all the disks play in all the players.

Unfortunately, only a small number of the first releases are advertised to
have DVD/HD DVD dual format...and they cost between $5-10 more than HD
alone.

>
> Studios will notice that HD-DVD releases sell in larger numbers and will
> eventually focus thier efforts on them. Consumers who really want a movie
> that's only on Blu-Ray will be able to buy it, but Blu-Ray disks only work
> in Blu-Ray machines and the players are more expensive meaning retailers
> expect less buyers and more returns. Especially since the thing that's
> holding Blu-Ray up right now is not the players but a high disk defect
> rate, even on the single layer disks.
>
> The PS3 will ship too late and too expensive to save Blu-Ray. Despite
> what every kid posting on the net thinks, their parents won't all get them
> a $750 PS3 just a year after getting a $900 XBox360 or $500 on a gfx card
> for the PC? The Blu-Ray is also gonna be trying to sell into the early
> Vista compatible PCs and faceing the second generation of HD-DVD players.
>
> Of course, the HD group made a huge tactical blunder by not getting an HD
> drive into the Xbox360 and ignoreing the Revolution as well but economic
> issues for manufacturers, retailers and users still make it a slam dunk.
>
>
> X
>
>

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