Posted by Roy L. Fuchs on 04/06/06 19:18

On Thu, 06 Apr 2006 13:18:32 -0400, Kimba W. Lion <kimbawlion@aol.com>
Gave us:

>On 6 Apr 2006 08:39:56 -0700, "rjn" <email4rjn@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
>>HD-DVD v. BR may be more like CED v. LaserDisc,
>>with a DIVX frosting to sour the tast.
>>
>>LD "won", but what it won was the videophile market (1%).
>>Barely enough for life support.
>
>You have a point, and I've been wondering along those lines, too.

The "videophile" market segment is much larger than 1% these days.
>
>There are other variables besides consumer acceptance. CED beat LD in
>terms of sales,

Bullshit. CED was so bad that it never even hit the market. Show
me an E-bay auction of a CED player.

> but still did not meet RCA's projections, and so they
>killed it while sales were still growing.

They killed it because it was degradable contact read technology.
They killed it because they knew that non-contact technologies were
going to be the CLEAR winner.

>Will the industry kill the goose that lays golden eggs (DVD) just so they
>can push the market into the new formats' DRM?

Laser Disc lasted more than twenty years. You can bet that DVD will
last just as long, if not longer.

> Or will they bail out early
>if sales don't meet their projections?

You can bet that if they sell at the same rate that fullscreen DVD
releases did, they will kill it.

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