|  | Posted by Erik Funkenbusch on 06/18/06 17:55 
On Sun, 18 Jun 2006 00:12:00 -0400, Derek Janssen wrote:
 > You could play the first DVD's on your computer.  You could play DVD's
 > on your Playstation.  You could buy a DVD movie at a computer store,
 > hook them up to whatever low-tech item would decipher them that you were
 > already using anyway, and whatever you used, you could play them on your
 > old TV set.  And even *then*, they made you never want to look at your
 > VHS tapes again--You wished for a world where "rewinding" had become
 > obsolete, and saw the doorway open.
 > We didn't buy DVD's because they were "sort of better".  If that were
 > the reasoning, we'd be watching S-VHS to this day.
 
 Umm.. Playstation DVD's came about long after DVD's had caught on.  Most
 computers didn't have DVD-ROM's until well after DVD's had caught on for
 consumers.  But much of the rest I agree with.
 
 There was only one reason I bought a DVD player, and that's because The
 Matrix came out on DVD 6 months before it came out on VHS.  I think a lot
 of other people bought DVD players for the same reason.
 
 They need to find a few titles that people want so desperately on DVD and
 make them available only on an HD format.  They won't do that, though, for
 a lot of reasons.  The internet can short circuit any plan like that today.
 
 Also, there will still be the concern about the format wars, which I think
 is the single biggest factor.  And the price is ridiculous, though I'm sure
 that will come down over the next 6 months to a year.
 
 Then, of course, there's the problem that only people who have High Def
 TV's will want them, and that's a pretty small percentage today (though
 growing), which means reasonable HD TV's (or even EDTV's) need to flood the
 market.
 
 > (Basically, the only reason the current industry thinks that any hi-def
 > format or any other new post-DVD movie delivery will "catch on" is the
 > main reason that they're convinced any *other* new technology will
 > "catch on" just for showing up:  Blind panic, and terror of the unknown.
 
 No, the industry wants HD-DVD to catch on because they think it will solve
 their current crisis with people copying movies.  They just won't do what
 is necessary to make that happen (create a single standard that can work on
 all TV's)
 
 >> Of course the manufacturers won't get it.  They'll just think nobody wants
 >> high definition movies.
 >
 > Well...they'll be partly right.
 
 No, people want High Def movies, they just don't want to compromise to get
 them.
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