Posted by Matthew L. Martin on 12/10/05 13:37

nospam@nospam.com wrote:
> On 9 Dec 2005 08:42:43 -0800, "Goro" <evilninjax@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
>
>
>>DVD->BRD will be a very long migration process for me. It might be so
>>long that i endup on whatever format follows BRD.
>
>
> When DVD was first on the horizon, LD fans had said the same thing to
> DVD. I won't replace my LD collection anytime soon, many titles won't
> be available on DVD ever, etc.

I still have ~750 LDs, most of the titles are not available on DVD.

> Look what happended not ten years in.
>
> HD DVD will do to DVD what DVD did to LD. When the studios have a
> format ironed out, they will push the new format to skin the same cow
> a few more times, that's how they make money from their catalog.
>
> It might take HD DVD a bit longer to make DVD redundant but the end is
> near for DVD, especially when the studios can pack HD DVD and SD DVD
> on the same disc.

You might be right, but there are real differences between LD and DVD in
the market at the introduction of the successor.

LD was in a extended year over year decline of sales when DVD came out.
There probably under 1 million LD player owners that bought LDs
DVD didn't require the purchase of a new display for image improvement
DVDs cost significantly less to buy than LDs

DVD sales may have peaked, but the are not in an extended decline
There are tens of millions of people who are actively buying DVDs
HD-DVD/BR requires the purchase of expensive display for improved image
Who knows where the studios will position HD-DVD/BR prices.

I think HD-DVD/BR will take a lot longer to displace DVD than it took
for DVD to displace LDs.

Matthew

--
What if you arrived at the fountain of youth, only to find dead toddlers
floating in the pond? -- John O on AFB

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