Posted by Rexunrex on 01/01/07 11:30

Aaron J. Bossig wrote:

> The flaw in that comparison is that DVD did, in fact, replace VHS.
> Therefore, nothing prevents DVD from being replaced by someone else.

For most people DVD is sufficient. If they don't buy the new
display, or have the ability to play HDDVD/Bluray on their computer,
they will not even be familiar with any improvement that high def
offers. No familiarity means no purchases.

Another factor that will prevent adoption is that most people
already have an investment in DVDs. Who knows what the
average # of DVDs per person or household is, but I know
people who have 100. And of course libraries and video stores
have 1000s. So if you tell those people they're going to have
to put out another $2000 or $20,000 respecitvely for new
discs and they will balk. Not to mention the need to buy
a high-def screen, the drive, and maybe a video card.

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