Posted by Doug Jacobs on 01/26/07 20:11

asjbiotek@gmail.com wrote:
> On Jan 24, 8:53 pm, Doug Jacobs <djac...@shell.rawbw.com> wrote:
> >You can't prove this with a single data point. THAT'S NOT A >TREND.

> You do know this is partly based on a line graph that shows sales over
> several months right? It shows HD-DVD sales much higher than blu-ray in
> mid 2006 (especially considering blu-ray players were not out yet -
> haha), and through several months with blu-ray sales surging upwards
> (with HD-DVD sales pretty much flat), and now surpassing HD-DVD sales.
> Looks like a trend to me.

Blu-ray has only been out for, what, 2 months? Until then, HD-DVD had no
competition. Those wishing to be early adopters have already bought
thiers and rest of us are taking a 'wait and see'. Now that Blu-ray is
out, the early adopters are again buying that. And no, you can't count
every PS3 sold as a blu-ray player because not everyone who buys a PS3 is
using it for movies. I know I wouldn't. If I buy a PS3, it's going to be
for games - and games only. Not movies. I'll buy a dedicated device for
movies.

At any rate, 2 months of data is still waaaaay too little to determine a
winner. Even 6 months would be pushing it, unless we're seeing a large,
sustained difference.

And what happens when the combo players come out? Will that mean that
every combo player counts as one HD-DVD player AND one Blu-Ray player?

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