Posted by Doug Jacobs on 01/26/07 20:26

In alt.video.dvd asjbiotek@gmail.com wrote:
> Dub wrote:
> > Again, good luck with your crusade.

> What crusade?

Indeed. You're simply tilting at windmills, while yelling about
vanquishing giants or something.

> I give you actual sales figures (and # titles) showing BD catching up
> then surpassing hd-dvd (even though hd-dvd had a long head start), all
> you hd-dvd nutjobs give irrelevant posturings. Good arguments there.

The data doesn't conclusively support your claims. Even though BR may
have edged out HD-DVD for a month:
1: We're talking a very small difference.
2: You don't draw a conclusion based on a single instance.

If you knew anything about statistics, you'd know that. At best, you can
say "BR appears to have a slight lead after 2 months." but unless you have
a crystal ball or a newspaper from the future, you can't make any
conclusive statements about which will win.

> I have yet to see anyone point out why this trend will not continue and
> blu-ray won't continue to widen its lead over hd-dvd until toshiba
> gives up.

One instance of a 5% difference is not a "trend". And even if this
"trend" of Blu-Ray edging out HD-DVD by 5% were to continue, a 5%
difference isn't a definitive victory. Heck, it'd barely be
distinguishable from statistical error.

> For example, this week alone, there were significantly more Blu-ray
> titles announced than hd-dvd:

That still means nothing since next week HD-DVD could have more
announcements than Blu-ray. What then? Should I come back here and
proclaim that, based on one data point favorable to my opinion, this
"trend" means Blu-ray will lose?

Were that the case, then Blu-Ray was losing for 5-6 months while HD-DVD
was making announcements while all Blu-Ray could say was "Maybe in a month
or two..." After all, even 1 title is greater than 0 - which is what
Blu-Ray had up until late 2006, so OBVIOUSLY, the trend is that Blu-Ray
LOST - right?


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