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Experts/Polls: Toshiba's HD-DVD dead in the water. Blu-ray will win.

Posted by asj on 04/05/06 12:47

Research firms (e.g. Forrester Research) note that Blu-ray will most
likely win in the format war:

"Blu-ray has several advantages that will help it win the day, Schadler
said. HD DVD is a one-trick pony for video playback, but Blu-ray is
also designed for games and computers, he said. Indeed, its inclusion
in millions of Sony's next-generation video game consoles is a factor.
And when former HD DVD loyalist Paramount endorsed Blu-ray, it shifted
the movie studio momentum. Finally, although Blu-ray manufacturing will
cost a little more initially, it offers more capacity and employs a
proven technology, Java, for interactive features."

http://www.cnet.com.au/desktops/storage/0,39029473,40057660,00.htm

Informal Polls show same:
http://forum.dvdtalk.com/showthread.php?t=451395

I have informally talked to people as well. They note Sony lost betamax
because it did not license it out. In this case, Blu-ray is supported
by a large number of vendors. This is not just Sony. This is Panasonic,
and Disney, Warner, Fox, and Sun, and IBM, and.....

Also, people wondered why they would buy the much smaller Toshiba disc
when the Blu-ray can hold so much more data.

 

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