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Posted by Derek Janssen on 06/18/06 17:13
Jay G. wrote:
> On Sat, 17 Jun 2006 23:58:04 -0400, Derek Janssen wrote:
>
>
>>asj wrote:
>>
>>>http://www.videobusiness.com/article/CA6332298.html
>>
>>Ah, here's a thought:
>>Maybe less than ten percent of the population actually OWN a hi-def
>>digital screen yet??
>>
>>HD-DVD and Blu-Ray: The Esperanto of the home-theater industry.
>
> Probably more like the espresso of the HT market, or the cappuccino.
> Something of a niche product for a number of years, until you turn around
> and suddenly it's available *everywhere*.
Well, it's true that the companies who make the *makings* for widescreen
digital/HD screens are making them cheaper, so that companies can make
them more common in time for Everything to Change, rather like
auto-makers' sudden push to hybrid technology--
And now that it's easier for companies to mass-produce screens we can
even use, why, in three to five years, screens might be down
to...oh...dare we dream?...$900 or less!
So be patient, Toshiba and Philips--We'll be able to actually
buy/afford/need your product soon, and it's not like *forever*... :)
> Kinda like DVD when it first came out.
Uh, wonder why DVD *suddenly* happened in the summer of '99, and not a
slow evolution from it's '96-'97 opening in said niche-geek obscurity?
Might it have something to do with the "V-E Day" of DiVX suddenly
announcing bankruptcy, curious mainstream home-theater fans dancing in
the streets that the Format War Was Over If You Wanted It, and THEN it
was everywhere?
Kinda like VHS when it first came out.
(Me, I was there: I remember rushing down to Circuit City in June,
hoping to vulture a cheap salvage DVD-converted 'X player, by the time
they'd be *giving* them away--
But fortunately, salespeople at other stores told me the REAL reason 'X
had gone under, and I thought it wiser to splurge into debt with the
real thing, as I'd already made a place in my living room for one.)
In short, if we ARE going by history, one format will sell when the
other is dead, and not before. Sit tight, we got a nice...long...wait.
Derek Janssen (and y'know, that "Third Rock From the Sun" episode wasn't
*too long* before '99, if you look back)
ejanss@comcast.net
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