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Posted by Doug Jacobs on 01/25/07 01:49
In alt.games.video.sony-playstation2 asjbiotek@gmail.com wrote:
> You do know the word "trends" right? it's that thing that smart people
> use to project future results.
Yes, yes. Most people tend to look at trends over a larger period of time
than a month or two. Even 6 months isn't going to do it, unless we see
some really big jumps by one or the other. But a lead of +/- 10%? That's
not a trend. That's a statistical tie.
> Add in 2 facts:
> 1. FIVE major studios (including 20th Century Fox, Sony, and DISNEY)
> are ONLY RELEASING in Blu-ray
> 2. Because of the PS3, there will be MANY MANY more potential BD
> players than Hddvd players
Just because someoen buys a PS3 doesn't mean they're playing blu-ray
movies.
How many computers have at least 1 DVD drive in them? How many PS2s and
Xbox consoles (both of which are DVD-capable) are there? Does that mean
every single one of them is being used for DVD playback?
> Add those 2 to the above and you figure it out. GAME OVER.
How about 2 more facts:
1: The vast majority of the global population doesn't have HDTV, and
therefore is ignoring this whole "war".
2: Hybrid players will make this whole "war" moot. Neither Blu-ray or
HD-DVD will win. They'll just co-exist like DVD-R/DVD+R.
When you add these facts in, it means no one really cares who wins - the
"war" is basically over, and no one wins.
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