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Re: Will Blu-Ray ~25/~50GB discs become the standard ?

Posted by Gene on 02/09/07 17:42

Yeah, it's a gamble either way. Good thing that I'm storing
all my PCs & burners in the barn for the grandkids:-)

IMHO, the probability of finding a working PC with a DVD
burner is 20 years is greater than locating all the bits and
pieces of my original videos on the internet nodes,
assuming the internet has not been replaced by then :-)

The most likely probability is that a media will be developed in
less than ten years that has at lease 256GB per unit of storage & with
cost in line with current $0.06/USD per GB. A breakthrough in something
like non-volatile flash memory would do it. I fully expect this to
happen within ten years. No reason to doubt that the future will be a lot
different from the past. Storage media gets physically smaller, faster, and
the
cost to store a GB costs less. Nothing will change, it's only a matter of
time.

Gene




"Rick Merrill" <rick0.merrill@NOSPAM.gmail.com> wrote in message
news:tYCdnaZFspi3MVHYnZ2dnUVZ_oSdnZ2d@comcast.com...
> Richard Crowley wrote:
>> "Gene" wrote ...
>>> Sorry, but I still do not understand how anyone could store my data
>>> as cheaply as I can. That would assume that I was willing to
>>> allow someone to view my family movies - which I would NEVER do.
>>>
>>> As of today, my total out-of-pocket cost to store a gigabyte of data
>>> is ~ six cents/US ($0.06). That is on a very high quality DVD-R,
>>> single. I can't even conceive of someone providing me with 20 years
>>
>> I think there will be LOTS of horror stories here in less than 20
>> years of people who thought that writable optical discs would
>> provide some sort of "archival quality" storage. Good luck.
>> But whatever you do, don't throw away the original tapes.
>
>
> MIT's Technology Review has had a couple of articles stating that in 20
> years the media MIGHT be readable BUT the *format* of the data will be
> so obsolete that you'll have to go to a museum to read it!
>

 

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