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Posted by Archimedes' Lever on 08/03/07 01:44
On Thu, 02 Aug 2007 21:30:09 -0000, Doug Jacobs <djacobs@shell.rawbw.com>
wrote:
>Archimedes' Lever <OneBigLever@infiniteseries.org> wrote:
>
>> Wrong. Both formats will be around for a long time. It will be NOTHING
>> like the beta VHS war. They were recordable formats, and there were MANY
>> more factors involved. The proof is how the "better" format actually
>> lost.
>
>While Beta did hang around for a while after VHS won the battle, it was
>virtually ignored by both consumers and retailers alike. After all, why
>would people make a product (movies on Beta) if there wasn't the market?
>Yes, I *KNOW* you could buy blank Beta tapes for years afterwards, but you
>certainly weren't able to rent movies from Blockbuster on Beta once that
>war was decided, were you? And most stores didn't bother carrying Beta
>decks after that either, right?
The studios didn't "embrace" one side or the other the way they have
today. This will mean that one will need both pieces of hardware to
acquire all titles worth having, and that alone will ensure the survival
of both.
>
>Why do you think it'll be any different in HD-DVD v. Blu-Ray, if indeed,
>we end up with just one dominant format?
We won't. That was the entire point. D'oh!
> If one format loses,
Speculation. And it isn't even based on any facts, much less any
proper statistical evaluations.
> we'll see
>firesales on existing stock, and that'll be the end of it for the most
>part.
But that is not how it is going down, nor will it be. They are both
going to survive. Mark my words.
> I'm sure that some specialty stores might continue stocking the
>other format,
You don't know much about studios or the way they make investments to
say that nonsense.
> but the mass market (which isn't even ready for HD-anything
>right now)
Funny... hundreds of titles in both realms, and even WalMart has a
huge, high dollar cost dual format display in the middle of the store.
Is WalMart not "mass market" enough for you? What about Amazon? D'oh!
> will simply adopt the winner, never knowing or caring that
>there was once a choice.
They have both won. D'oh! There isn't a "war" there is simply two new
formats.
>The only way that a single-format outcome could be avoided
Is when dopes stop making shit up.
> would be if
>someone produces an affordable multi-format player capable of playing
>everything.
I do not need a multi player. I have an HD player that is top of the
line, and I have gaming console that is top of the line, that also
happens to play the other format. Best method to undertake, if one were
to ask me.
> At that point, people will just buy that and then it won't
>matter if the movie is HD-DVD or Blu-Ray.
Sure, the convenience minded couch potatoes will. But the dyed in the
wool "Hi Fi stereo hounds of yesteryear will have both, just like in the
days of old when that same set of folks had cassette, 8-track, and
reel-to-reel, all on their "stack".
I do not think you have your finger on the pulse of anything other than
what you grab with your rosy palm.
> The HD video market will become
>just like the burnable DVD market, where 2 different, but equal, formats
>reign in an uneasy mishmash of quasi-compatibility.
A poor guess, at best, IMNSHO.
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