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Re: Bits from Bill: Death to the DVD Disc is Coming

Posted by Just Visiting on 01/20/08 07:45

On Sat, 19 Jan 2008 22:11:26 -0800 (PST), Ablang <ron916@gmail.com>
wrote:

> Death to the DVD Disc is Coming
>
>No, I'm not joining those who have predicted that Sony's Blu-ray has
>won over HD-DVD. What I'm suggesting is the optical disc format has
>reached it's peak and will go the way of the cassette tape.
>
>Forget about the DVD Wars
>The battle between Blu-Ray and HD-DVD format hasn't helped. Even with
>Warner Brothers exclusively backing the Blu-Ray Association, sales of
>movies on disc has been on the decline. This week at CES a lot of
>folks are calling Blu-Ray a winner even though the adult industry and
>Microsoft has backed HD-DVD.
>
>Some have also said Microsoft wants both to fail because "They want
>confusion in the market until they perfect the digital downloads." I
>say, "It worked!". In fact today, Microsoft acknowledged it is backing
>off plans to promote HD-DVD exclusively in its xBox game console.
>Advocates for both claim superior video and audio but they're missing
>what consumers want. There's a point where the average human can't
>detect the differences in sound and appearance. If anything, the
>increases in clarity can show more flaws in productions. Why would I
>pay $20+ for disc when I can just download the movie to my PC or TiVo
>for $12 or less.
>
>The future media is Solid State Memory or what's commonly called Flash
>memory. I wrote about this a year ago, and I'll stick by last years
>prediction.
>Granted a Blu-ray DVD can hold 25 GB's per layer it's only a matter of
>time before we see an explosion in Flash(NAND) memory size. HD-DVD
>only holds 15 GB per layer. Yesterday at CES SanDisk introduced a new
>12 GB microSDHD card. SanDisk calculates with 12 GB you can store a
>24.5 hours of video along with 2,600 photos and 1,500 songs.
>
>Alternates to DVD
>
>While the size and cost of flash memory isn't there yet it's coming.
>It's not likely I can fit a Blu-ray disc into my Phone, GPS or video
>camera. No moving parts or lasers means my battery will last a lot
>longer watching a movie from flash memory. It's also much easier and
>cheaper to build a flash memory slot into a new TV or other home
>appliance than it is a disc player.
>My new OLPC XO laptop isn't the first laptop to choose a flash drive
>in place of a mechanical hard drive and DVD and it won't be the last.
>No moving parts, minimal power consumption, well over 100,000 write
>cycles, all means my next laptop will include a solid state drive
>instead of a legacy hard drive. I won't miss trying to figure out if
>my DVD player supports +R - R, +RW or -RW.
>
>http://billpstudios.blogspot.com/2008/01/death-to-dvd-disc-is-coming.html

Aw, Bill's just upset because he came in second place this time with
the format war. Now, he's going to try to snuff it off by offering
something in it's place so he can still look like he's some kind of
technological leader. A "bit" arrogant, isn't it? Why should I
support HD-DVD from someone that puts out the worst products of the
year? (Based on editorial reviews) Oh yeah, early adopters knew what
they were getting into 'cause the same thing happened with HDTV just a
few years ago! HDTVs weren't upgradeable. They've probably already
bought new HDTVs since then. That's the risk they take. They need to
quit whining and move on.

 

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