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Posted by Smarty on 01/10/06 19:32
Mark,
The greed factor has made this format war inevitable, it seems. If Beta
versus VHS wasn't enough proof of how consumer confusion thwarted sales,
then the industry giants like Sony and Toshiba, etc. and the studios deserve
what they get, IMHO.
One would imagine that HD DVD in some form is absolutely inevitable, and the
fact that consumer mainstream products and vendors are supporting it will
foster demand sooner rather than later. Your 3 to 5 year forecast is
probably pessimistic given the extremely fast adoption of standard DVDs,
flat screens, HDTV, etc. As you are probably aware, (regarding games) the
new Xbox 360 will support high def DVD imminently. (The 2600 Atari stuff is
indeed a nostalgia trip and my son still cherishes the PacMan and wonderful
game called "Adventure" I bought him, both of which went on to sell millions
of copies.)
The costs of running multiple inventories of movies in HD, SD, widescreen,
fullscreen, BluRay, HD-DVD, etc. will be unsupportable in my view, and thus
the marketplace will decide what remains and what doesn't. It is very hard
for me to imagine the case where HD DVD will totally fail, however, and my
money would be bet on a blended BluRay and HD-DVD format replacing standard
DVD in the next 5 years. But who knows.........only time will tell.
Smarty
"Mark Burns" <marcus520520@yahoo.com> wrote in message
news:1136918165.300959.148300@g44g2000cwa.googlegroups.com...
> Thanks for the update Smarty.
>
> I am happy to know that ULEAD will be supporting the HD format.
>
> I still am unclear myself on what that it shall mean over the next
> three-five years for me personally. Will I shoot and edit in HD, than
> down convert to DVD? (I think probably)
>
> Or will I shoot and edit in HD, and then save in an mpeg-4 format on a
> much cheaper DVD-9? Will next gen DVD set top players support a HD
> DivX? (This I hope for even more)
>
> Either way, I am not sure of Blu-ray or HD-DVD in the near future,
> unless it were attached to a game of some sort I suppose. But I hate
> computer games so that is not a personal issue.
>
> (As a side note, one can get a 1980's Atari 2600 flashback with 20
> games built in for $30. I do kinda like that one! Nostalga with a
> requirement for immagination.
>
> http://www.atari.com/us/games/atari_flashback/7800
> )
>
> What will be the durability of these new disks? Many of us have been
> disappointed with DVDs compared to CDs. Time will tell I suppose. We
> will know more in five years.
>
> I do wonder if in five years that both Blu-ray and HD-DVD will be niche
> products ala the laser disks of the 80's and 90's. Will the public
> perceive the HD formats as being superior enough to DVD to warrant
> investing in it? Will hybrid players help the new markets? (probably
> not with dueling formats I surmise)
>
> Don't mind me, I am still befuddled over all of this.
>
> Cheers...
>
> Mark
>
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