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Posted by ~P~ on 04/14/06 04:40
Joshua,
I agree that there are many circumstances by which Blu-ray & HD-DVD could
come to coexist. But, I would have to say that it depends a great deal on
what happens with PS3 and then the follow up of players that come out. If
PS3 sells as expected, and then is immediately followed up with players that
are price competitive with HD-DVD, then it is a question of money.
What does the ONE studio (Universal) get from HD-DVD? Less sales = less
revenue = less profits. That's a fine gamble today, but what about when
Blu-ray movies are outselling HD-DVD at 10 to 1 levels? At that point, why
would Warner release in both formats when their sales are ten times as great
for Blu-ray?
From, entirely a business point of view, Blu-ray could easily be outselling
HD-DVD at 10 to 1 levels which means that as someone who is trying to make
my business grow, that is the FIRST format I would choose. Okay, second
behind DVD. ;o)
While I believe that Blu-ray has the POTENTIAL for a tiny bit better overall
video/audio quality, I don't believe these differences will be taken
advantage of for some time. So, I believe that both formats will have
similar, if not identical movie quality out of the gate. This offers zero
advantage to Blu-ray from the start, especially with the price of the
Toshiba units. But, $500 isn't cheap for a lot of people. It's still not
going to be the 'mass market' player that some may expect. Under $200 or
so? Maybe, but not at 500 bucks! This differentiation is where I believe
that Blu-ray marketing has been very clear: They are marketing their first
players to those with more cash. Period. Regardless of actual video
quality, their players are being directed towards those who have the cash to
blow. Who think $500.00 is nothing, and $1,000 or $1,800 is even less and
well worth every penny. Custom installations will predominantly feature
Blu-ray at the very least. I believe this marketing is quite clear in their
initial product roll out.
Once again, how this affects things down the road... I can't be sure of.
But, CEDIA and the A/V industry who sees Blu-ray in EVERY high end
application - in every install - will direct some added attention Blu-rays
direction.
Then PS3. IMO it ALL comes back to PS3. If PS3 were HD-DVD, then I would
consider Blu-ray dead. If, on the other hand, PS3 is a halfway decent
Blu-ray player and comes in at expected pricing, then 10:1 outselling HD-DVD
will likely be on the low side of things.
"Joshua Zyber" <jzyber@mind-NOSPAM-spring.com> wrote in message
news:ddB%f.3774$Es3.3711@newsread3.news.atl.earthlink.net...
"asj" <kalim1998@yahoo.com> wrote in message
news:1144932183.591637.46630@u72g2000cwu.googlegroups.com...
-So, theoretically, Blu-Ray could become the next data storage format of
-choice, but that still doesn't guarantee it will win the HD video format
-war. There are scenarios where both products could coexist.
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